One of the things that makes the NFL these days interesting is that there isn't quite enough talent to go around. This helps parity, as the talented players can follow the money, if they so desire, and it gets more and more expensive to maintain a solid stable of talented players. I assume the top three picks of the draft this year will be Reggie Bush, Matt Leinart, and Vince Young. The question is, where are those quarterbacks going?
As I see it, there are ten teams that might look at getting a quarterback. For Arizona, I'd start to question whether Warner or McCown is the answer long term, but I'm not sure they need to make that decision right now. Cleveland is starting Trent Dilfer. Detroit is clearly tired of Harrington, but is Garcia the answer? Miami needs help. New Orleans may be getting weary of Aaron Brooks. The New York Jets probably have questions over Pennington's health. Oakland's starting quarterback is Kerry Collins, who's never been the world's greatest. St. Louis is starting Marc Bulger, who I've never liked. Tennessee has the iron man Steve McNair, but how much longer can he last? Washington's playing Brunell and has Ramsey on the bench - but Brunell can't have much left and Ramsey didn't cut it in the past. But only Miami really needs a quarterback. And remember, the Lions have two (Garcia and Harrington), both of whom will get a job elsewhere if they leave, and the Chargers need to do something with Phillip Rivers (or Drew Brees).
Cleveland, Oakland, St. Louis, and Washington took quarterbacks in the draft. Cleveland and Oakland spent third round picks, Washington a first, and St. Louis a seventh (on a guy from Harvard, so he just doesn't count). Apparently Cleveland's guy, Charlie Frye, played a little bit on Sunday, which irked Dilfer. Since I suspect Cleveland is going to be leery of using the first round pick on a QB (given the Couch disaster), they may try and find a backup (or keep Dilfer) and see if Frye's got anything next season.
Anyway, the worst team in the league is Houston. I've not really seen anything of David Carr, so I can't really say whether he's the answer or not, but that team is so bad that I don't see them taking a quarterback. Besides, Carr's taken a pounding over the last few years - I wouldn't subject another top pick to that - except maybe Vince Young. But they might go Reggie Bush, and I wouldn't blame them. The two-loss teams are the Saints, the Jets, the 49ers, the Packers, and Tennessee. Aaron Brooks signed a six-year contract before the 2002 season, so next year will be year five, and I think he's probably on the hot seat - I think they'll take a quarterback. I could see the Jets taking a quarterback in the middle rounds, just in case Pennington can't come back. But not a first round pick. With Alex Smith signed to a gajillion dollars, the Niners aren't going to sign another quarterback. The Pack still have Favre (more on this later) and they drafted Aaron Rodgers, so unless Rodgers can't play a lick, he'll get a shot when Brett hangs it up before anyone else comes in. Steve McNair has been around a while, and he's also taken a beating for Tennessee. Vince Young is another big, mobile quarterback, and quite possibly a good successor to McNair. This, however, leaves Miami without one of those top two quarterbacks.
I don't really follow college football, but here's what I know. Brady Quinn's stats have gotten better each year and still has one year left, but he's had such a good season he might also come out. Marcus Vick has looked good, and may end up being more successful than his older brother. Michael Robinson at Penn State is probably not a first round pick.
I think what Miami will do depends on who comes out, but I think by the end of the draft, Ricky Williams won't be a Dolphin and Miami will have one of the four college quarterbacks mentioned above. Along with Rivers and Harrington, there may be enough quarterbacks to go around for next year. And that's just not right.
With regards to Brett Favre, the Packers are, well, terrible. You'd think that the QB of the future, Aaron Rodgers, might see a little playing time to see what he's made of. That it's been all Brett, all the time, makes me think that this is the end. He's not going to want to spend his last games on the bench, so watch the next few games. If Aaron Rodgers doesn't get some mop-up duty if the Packers are, heaven forbid, blowing somebody out or, more likely, getting plastered, this is Favre's last stand.